Niba biteganijwe ko ibiciro byibyuma bizakomeza kwiyongera muri 2023, icyifuzo cyo gukora ibyuma kigomba kuba kinini ugereranije nu mpera za 2022. Vladimir Zapletin / iStock / Getty Images Plus
Nk’uko benshi mubabajijwe ubushakashatsi buherutse gukorwa ku isoko ry’ibyuma (SMU), ibiciro by'isahani byagabanutse cyangwa biri hafi kugabanuka.Turimo kubona kandi abantu benshi bahanura izamuka ryibiciro mumezi ari imbere.
Kurwego rwibanze, ibi biterwa nuko tubona kwiyongera gake mugihe cyo kuyobora - impuzandengo y'ibyumweru 0.5 vuba aha.Kurugero, impuzandengo yigihe cyo kuyobora kubushyuhe bushyushye (HRC) byateganijwe byari munsi yibyumweru 4 gusa ubu ni ibyumweru 4.4 (reba Ishusho 1).
Ibihe byambere birashobora kuba ikimenyetso cyingenzi cyerekana ihinduka ryibiciro.Igihe cyambere cyo kumara ibyumweru 4.4 ntabwo bivuze ko igiciro kiri hejuru ari ugutsindira inyungu, ariko niba dutangiye kubona ibihe bya HRC bigereranya ibyumweru bitanu kugeza kuri bitandatu, amahirwe yo kuzamuka kwibiciro yiyongera cyane.
Byongeye kandi, urusyo ntirushobora kuganira ku biciro biri hasi ugereranije n'ibyumweru bishize.Wibuke ko mumezi menshi, ababikora hafi ya bose bari biteguye kugabanywa kugirango bakusanye ibicuruzwa.
Ibihe byambere byiyongereye kandi insyo nke ziteguye guhagarika amasezerano nyuma y’uruganda rwo muri Amerika na Kanada rutangaje ko izamuka ry’ibiciro ry’amadolari 60 kuri toni ($ 3 ijana) mu cyumweru nyuma ya Thanksgiving.Ku mutini.Igishushanyo cya 2 gitanga incamake yibiteganijwe kubiciro mbere na nyuma yo gutangaza ko izamuka ryibiciro..
Iteganyagihe ryacitsemo ibice mbere yuko uruganda rutangaza ibiciro byazamutse.Abagera kuri 60% bemeza ko ibiciro bizaguma ku rwego rumwe.Ntibisanzwe.Igitangaje, hafi 20% bemeza ko bazarenga $ 700 / toni, naho 20% cyangwa se bategereje ko bazamanuka $ 500 / toni.Ibi byarantangaje muri kiriya gihe, kuko $ 500 / toni yari hafi yo kumeneka no ku gihingwa cyahujwe, cyane cyane iyo ugabanije kugabanura igiciro cyamasezerano.
Kuva icyo gihe, imbaga y'amadorari 700 / toni (30%) yariyongereye, aho hafi 12% by'ababajijwe biteze ko ibiciro bizaba $ 500 / toni cyangwa munsi mu mezi abiri.Birashimishije kandi kubona ibiciro bimwe byateganijwe ndetse birenze ibiciro byibasiye $ 700 / t byatangajwe ninganda zimwe.Ibisubizo bisa nkaho bategereje ikindi cyiciro cyizamuka ryibiciro, kandi bizera ko iri zamuka ryiyongera rizagira imbaraga.
Twabonye kandi ihinduka rito ryibiciro ku bigo bya serivisi, byerekana ingaruka zikurikira z’ibiciro by’uruganda (reba Ishusho 3).Muri icyo gihe, umubare w’ibigo bya serivisi wiyongereye (11%), raporo y’ibiciro yiyongera.Byongeye, bake (46%) bazagabanya ibiciro.
Twabonye ibintu bisa muri Kanama na Nzeri nyuma yo kuzamuka kw'ibiciro by'uruganda.Amaherezo, barananiwe.Ikigaragara ni uko icyumweru kidakora inzira.Mu byumweru bike biri imbere, nzakurikiranira hafi kugira ngo ndebe niba ibigo bya serivisi bikomeje kwerekana inyungu mu izamuka ry’ibiciro.
Wibuke kandi ko amarangamutima ashobora kuba umushoferi wingenzi mugihe gito.Twabonye ubwiyongere bukabije bwa positivite vuba aha.Reba umutini.4.
Tumubajije niba bafite ibyiringiro kubijyanye nigice cya mbere cya 2023, 73% bari bafite ibyiringiro.Urebye ko igihembwe cya mbere gisanzwe gihuze, ntibisanzwe kubona ibyiringiro mumwaka mushya.Ibigo byuzuza ububiko bwabyo mbere yigihe cyubwubatsi.Nyuma yibiruhuko, ibikorwa byimodoka byongeye kwiyongera.Byongeye, ntukigomba guhangayikishwa n’imisoro yimigabane mu mpera zumwaka.
Ariko, ntabwo nari niteze ko abantu bagirira icyizere imitwe yintambara i Burayi, inyungu nyinshi hamwe n’ubukungu bwifashe nabi.Nigute wabisobanura?Nibyiringiro kubijyanye no gukoresha ibikorwa remezo, ibiteganywa n itegeko ryo kugabanya ifaranga ritera inkunga iyubakwa ryumuyaga ukomoka ku byuma n’izuba, cyangwa ikindi kintu?Ndashaka kumenya icyo utekereza.
Ikimpangayikishije gato nuko tutabona impinduka zikomeye mubisabwa muri rusange (reba Ishusho 5).Abenshi (66%) bavuze ko ibintu bimeze neza.Abantu benshi bavuze ko bamanuka (22%) kuruta uko bazamutse (12%).Niba ibiciro bikomeje kuzamuka, inganda zibyuma zigomba kubona iterambere ryibisabwa.
Hamwe n'icyizere cyose nko muri 2023, ikindi kintu kintera kwibaza nukuntu ibigo bya serivise nababikora bakora ibarura ryabo.Ndatekereza ko ubu nshobora kuvuga ko 2021 ari umwaka wo kwisubiraho, 2022 ni umwaka wo gusenya, naho 2023 ni umwaka wo kwisubiraho.Birashobora kuba aribyo.Ariko ntabwo bijyanye numubare.Benshi mubabajijwe ubushakashatsi bwacu bakomeje gutanga raporo ko bafite imigabane, umubare munini ukomeje gukuramo imigabane.Gusa bike byavuzwe mububiko.
Ubukungu bukomeye bwo gukora muri 2023 biterwa nimba nigihe tubonye kugaruka.Niba ngomba guhitamo ikintu kimwe kugirango nkurikiranire hafi ibyumweru bike biri imbere usibye ibiciro, ibihe byo kuyobora, ibiganiro byuruganda, hamwe nisoko ryamasoko, byari ububiko bwabaguzi.
Ntiwibagirwe kwiyandikisha mu nama ya Tampa Steel Gashyantare 5-7 Gashyantare.Wige byinshi kandi wiyandikishe hano: www.tampasteelconference.com/ kwiyandikisha.
Tuzagira abayobozi bakuru baturutse mu nganda zo muri Amerika, Kanada na Mexico, hamwe n'inzobere zikomeye mu bijyanye n'ingufu, politiki y'ubucuruzi na geopolitike.Iki nigihe cyibihe byubukerarugendo muri Floride, tekereza rero kubitabo vuba bishoboka.Nta byumba bya hoteri byari bihagije.
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Igihe cyo kohereza: Gashyantare-15-2023